Anecdotes and the Shifting Baseline Syndrome of Fisheries
By Daniel Pauly
1 pageWhen the next generation starts its career, the stocks have further declined, but it is the stocks at that time that serve as a new baseline. The result obviously is a gradual shift of the baseline, a gradual accommodation of the creeping disappearance of resource species, and inappropriate reference points for evaluating economic losses resulting from overfishing, or for identifying targets for rehabilitation
The classic 1995 paper that introduced the term for how humans have a hard time seeing intergenerational change.